https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2023/03/06/the-great-blunder-why-did-putin-miscalculate-over-ukraine/
https://www.timesofisrael.com/lapid-netanyahu-was-briefed-on-dangers-ahead-of-oct-7-ignored-all-red-flags-must-go/
http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1700/RR1786z1/RAND_RR1786z1.pdf