https://cepr.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Long-Sune-2022-PDF.pdf
https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/misery-strategy-human-cost-conflict
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/4_alganetal.pdf
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/covid-19-global-risk-landscape/