https://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Storms-Ahead_AGH_chp6.pdf
https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/what-if-putin-declared-victory-and-walked-away/
https://theconversation.com/habra-mas-guerras-y-disturbios-en-2024-estos-son-los-5-puntos-calientes-que-hay-que-vigilar-220495