https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2021/10/22/unexpected-lessons-from-spains-economic-rise/
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2023/03/06/the-great-blunder-why-did-putin-miscalculate-over-ukraine/
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1786.html