EU A better way to anticipate downturns Tilis 6 years ago https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/strategy-and-corporate-finance/our-insights/a-better-way-to-anticipate-downturns?cid=other-eml-cls-mip-mck&hlkid=43c6066168d24ce48770cda86c18e473&hctky=&hdpid=5b2ed585-5c55-4c19-a844-02c1a823aa91