https://www.crisisgroup.org/crisis-crunching-what-crisiswatch-says-about-todays-conflicts-and-tomorrows?utm_source=Sign+Up+to+Crisis+Group%27s+Email+Updates&utm_campaign=99397fafcc-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_02_26_03_37&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_1dab8c11ea-99397fafcc-359810589